The Role of Profitability in Mediating the Effect of Financial Performance on Stock Returns: An Empirical Study of LQ45 Companies (2021–2025)

Authors

  • Shafira Arviani Trilogi University, Jakarta, Indonesia.
  • Fanny Suzuda Pohan Trilogi University, Jakarta, Indonesia.

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.38035/snefr.v2i2.1167

Keywords:

Current Ratio, Debt to Equity Ratio, Return on Equity, Return Saham, Total Asset Turnover

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effects of Current Ratio (CR), Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), and Total Asset Turnover (TATO) on Stock Returns, with Return on Equity (ROE) as a mediating variable, in companies included in the LQ45 index during 2021–2025. The study was motivated by Indonesian capital market volatility during the research period and inconsistent findings in previous studies concerning financial ratios and stock returns. A quantitative approach with an associative-causal research design was employed. The sample was selected using purposive sampling, resulting in 16 companies that met the established criteria. Data analysis was performed using panel data regression and path analysis with EViews 14. The results show that DER and TATO have positive and significant effects on ROE, while CR has no significant effect on ROE. ROE has a positive and significant effect on Stock Returns, whereas CR, DER, and TATO do not have significant direct effects on Stock Returns. Furthermore, ROE mediates the effects of DER and TATO on Stock Returns but does not mediate the effect of CR on Stock Returns. These findings indicate that profitability plays an important role in linking financial performance to Stock Returns among LQ45 companies during the research period.

References

Aini, N., & Siregar, H. S. (2026). Pengaruh Current Ratio, Debt to Equity Ratio Dan Total Asset Turnover terhadap Return on Equity pada Perusahaan yang Terdaftar di Jakarta Islamic Index. Journal of Science and Social Research, 9(1), 2110–2119. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.54314/jssr.v9i2.6147

Aprilyani, C., & Nurhamdi, M. (2025). Pengaruh Current Ratio (CR), Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), dan Total Asset Turnover (TATO) Terhadap Return on Equity (ROE) pada PT ACE Hardware Indonesia TBK Periode 2014-2023. JORAPI : Journal of Research and Publication Innovation, 3(1), 2559–2570. https://jurnal.portalpublikasi.id/index.php/JORAPI/index

Atthahiry, M. F., Yuliani, Y., Malinda, S., & Muthia, F. (2025). Influence Current Ratio and Total Assets Turnover on Stock Returns with Return on Equity as Intervening on the Indonesian Stock Exchange. Financial Engineering, 3, 43–50. https://doi.org/10.37394/232032.2025.3.5

Aulia, D. R., Mahmudi, B., & Mulyani, A. S. (2025). Peran Profitabilitas dalam Memediasi Hubungan Struktur Modal dengan Return Saham dan Peran Nilai Tukar dalam Memoderasi Hubungan Profitabilitas dengan Return Saham. Jurnal Akuntansi, Ekonomi Dan Manajemen Bisnis, 5(2), 836–849. https://doi.org/10.55606/jaemb.v5i2.7161

Botta, C., & Sakariyahu, R. (2025). Market Volatility Across Asset Classes During U.S. Presidential and Mid-Term Elections. Finance Research Letters, 84(107754). https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2025.107754

Brigham, E. F., & Houston, J. F. (2019). Fundamentals of Financial Management (15 e). Cengage Learning.

Chabachib, M., Setyaningrum, I., Hersugondo, H., Shaferi, I., & Pamungkas, I. D. (2020). Does Financial Performance Matter? Evidence on the Impact of Liquidity and Firm Size on Stock Return in Indonesia. International Journal of Financial Research, 11(4), 546–555. https://doi.org/10.5430/ijfr.v11n4p546

Ghozali, I., & Ratmono, D. (2017). Analisis Multivariat Dan Ekonometrika Teori, Konsep dan Aplikasi dengan EViews 10 (2nd ed.).

Gitman, L. J., & Zutter, C. J. (2015). Principles of Managerial Finance. In Pearson Education Limited (14th ed.).

Handayani, R. S., & Aprilia, E. N. (2023). Pengaruh Current Ratio, Debt to Equity Ratio, Return on Equity dan Total Assets Turnover Terhadap Return Saham Perusahan Sektor Pertambangan yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia Periode 2018 - 2022. Jurnal Akuntansi Dan Keuangan, 12(1), 49–57. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.32520/jak.v12i1.2751

Jensen, M. C., & Meckling, W. H. (1976). Theory of the Firm: Managerial Behavior Agency Costs and Ownership Structure. Journal of Financial Economics, 3(4), 305–360. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(76)90026-X

Joseph F, H. J., Hult, G. T. M., Ringle, C. M., & Sarstedt, M. (2019). A Primer on Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM). In Sage (2nd ed.).

Lubis, P. K. D., Silalahi, H. H. B., Sinaga, A. F., Sapma, P. N., & Sitio, V. (2024). Pasar Modal Dan Pengaruhnya Terhadap Perekonomian Di Indonesia. Jurnal Akuntansi, Keuangan Dan Auditing, 5(1), 196–214. https://publikasi.dinus.ac.id/index.php/jaka Pasar

Mardiyah, A., Wijaya, A. L., & Novitasari, M. (2021). Pengaruh Likuiditas Terhadap Return Saham Dengan Profitabilitas Sebagai Variabel Mediasi (Studi Empiris Pada Perusahaan Consumer Goods Yang Listing Di Bursa Efek Indonesia Tahun 2015-2019). Jurnal Seminar Inovasi Manajemen Bisnis Dan Akuntansi 3, 3(1), 1–25.

Marlisa, V., Suminar, Ariana, T., Rera, D. L., & Ratnasari. (2021). Profitabilitas Sebagai Mediasi Struktur Modal dan Pertumbuhan Perusahaan Terhadap Return Saham Syariah (Profitability as a Mediation of Capital Structure and Company Growth on Sharia Stock Return). Jurnal Ekonomi Manajemen Bisnis, 2(2), 113–124.

Rudhani, L. H., Hasanaj, P., & Rudhani, T. (2025). The Dynamics of Macroeconomic Indicators and Stock Market Returns : An Econometric Perspective on Advanced Economies. Edelweiss Applied Science and Technology, 9(8), 113–137. https://doi.org/10.55214/2576-8484.v9i8.9225

Septianingsih, A. (2022). Pemodelan Data Panel Menggunakan Random Effect Model Untuk Mengetahui Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Umur Harapan Hidup Di Indonesia. Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika Dan Statistika, 3(3), 525–536. https://doi.org/10.46306/lb.v3i3.163

Spence, M. (1973). Job Market Signaling. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 87(3), 355–374. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.2307/1882010

Yeni, F., Khair, M., & Putri, N. U. M. (2024). Return Saham Melalui Profitabilitas Sebagai Variabel Intervening: Likuiditas dan Struktur Modal. BALANCE : Jurnal Akuntansi Dan Bisnis, 9(2), 160–172.

Published

2026-09-13

How to Cite

Shafira Arviani, & Pohan, F. S. (2026). The Role of Profitability in Mediating the Effect of Financial Performance on Stock Returns: An Empirical Study of LQ45 Companies (2021–2025). Siber Nusantara of Economic and Finance Review, 2(2), 636–646. https://doi.org/10.38035/snefr.v2i2.1167

Similar Articles

1 2 > >> 

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.