The Impact of Human Development Components on Poverty Reduction: A Comparative Analysis Across Provinces in Java, Indonesia Using Linear Mixed Models

Authors

  • Abdullah Said Fakultas Ilmu Administrasi Universitas Brawijaya Malang, Indonesia
  • Moch. Zainal Mustofa Fakultas Ilmu Administrasi Universitas Brawijaya Malang, Indonesia
  • Fathir Achmad Sulaiman Fakultas Ilmu Administrasi Universitas Brawijaya Malang, Indonesia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.38035/sjam.v4i1.660

Keywords:

Human Development Index, Poverty, Education, Health, Expenditure, Linear Mixed Model, Regional Disparities, Indonesia, Java

Abstract

This study examines the impact of Human Development Index (HDI) components: education, health, and expenditure on poverty levels across provinces in Java, Indonesia. Using secondary data from the Indonesian Bureau of Statistics and applying a Linear Mixed Model approach, this research captures both cross-sectional and temporal variations across regions. The findings reveal that education and expenditure have a significant negative effect on poverty, indicating that improvements in human capital and economic capacity contribute to poverty reduction. Conversely, the health index shows a positive and significant relationship with poverty, suggesting a non-linear and complex interaction influenced by structural and demographic factors. The model demonstrates moderate explanatory power, with a pseudo R-squared value of 0.479, indicating that nearly half of the variation in poverty can be explained by the selected variables. These results highlight that poverty is a multidimensional phenomenon requiring integrated policy interventions. The study contributes to the literature by decomposing HDI into its components and employing a multilevel analytical approach to better understand regional disparities in development outcomes.

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Published

2026-05-14

How to Cite

Said, A., Mustofa, M. Z., & Sulaiman, F. A. (2026). The Impact of Human Development Components on Poverty Reduction: A Comparative Analysis Across Provinces in Java, Indonesia Using Linear Mixed Models. Siber Journal of Advanced Multidisciplinary, 4(1), 141–149. https://doi.org/10.38035/sjam.v4i1.660